Core orders rise in June, offering a much-needed boost for Japan’s machinery sector. This key indicator of private-sector capital spending jumped 3.0 percent month-on-month. The gain marked the first increase in three months and exceeded economists’ forecasts. Year-on-year, orders climbed 7.6 percent, signaling stronger momentum in corporate investment. Non-manufacturers helped drive this improvement, especially in sectors like leasing and agriculture. These industries offset declines seen in manufacturing, which recorded an 8.1 percent drop.
Meanwhile, non-manufacturers saw an 8.8 percent increase in orders. Computers, heavy equipment, and vehicle-related tools contributed to that growth. In value terms, core machinery orders reached 941.2 billion yen for the month. Although manufacturing orders dipped, the overall machinery sector posted a slight monthly increase of 0.3 percent. Public-sector orders held steady, while foreign orders remained volatile but did not drag the total down.
Looking at the second quarter, core orders rose 0.4 percent from the previous quarter. This marked the third consecutive quarter of growth, reinforcing hopes of a gradual investment recovery. Capital spending appears to be stabilizing after a period of softness. Government officials noted that machinery orders are showing signs of picking up. However, they also warned of a potential 4.0 percent decline in the July–September quarter. This cautious outlook reflects uncertainties in global demand and supply chain pressures.
Some sectors, particularly automotive, continue to face headwinds. Tariff concerns and global market shifts have caused delays in investment. Still, rising orders from service industries suggest that domestic demand remains relatively strong. In summary, core orders rise in June offers optimism but not certainty. Japan’s economy appears to be moving toward recovery, although challenges remain. Analysts will closely monitor July figures for signs of sustained momentum.