Japan expects to produce 7.35 million tons of rice this year, marking a record annual increase of 560,000 tons.
Farm Minister Shinjiro Koizumi shared the projection during a press conference, citing data from a late-June agricultural survey. This significant rise reflects the highest year-over-year increase since the ministry began tracking rice production in 2004.
The Japan rice production 2025 forecast comes as farmers expand cultivation to meet high demand for branded rice varieties. According to the Agriculture Ministry, farmers plan to plant rice on 1.36 million hectares, up 104,000 hectares from 2024.
Koizumi acknowledged the dedication of rice producers, especially amid shifting price dynamics and regional concerns. “I want to appreciate the effort of rice farmers,” Koizumi said. “We will address issues like sake rice shortages.”
Despite increased supply, branded rice prices have remained high, motivating farmers to expand their production. Meanwhile, the average price of regular rice has declined, partially due to government stock releases to control inflation.
The ministry conducts rice production surveys three times a year—at the end of January, April, and June. Officials raised the forecast by 160,000 tons since the April update, reflecting accelerated planting activity across Japan.
While general rice output is rising, Koizumi noted a decline in rice grown specifically for sake brewing. His ministry plans to explore solutions for supporting sake rice producers in upcoming policy discussions.
Farmers responded strongly to favorable market signals for premium rice, making this year’s crop one of the largest in decades. This momentum in Japan rice production 2025 could help stabilize prices and secure domestic supply.
Koizumi stressed the importance of balancing market conditions while supporting regional farming communities. The ministry will continue monitoring crop conditions closely ahead of the fall harvest.
The anticipated rise in Japan rice production 2025 signals renewed confidence in agriculture and food self-sufficiency efforts.
