A US think tank has raised concerns about Taiwan LNG dependence on Qatar, stressing that the reliance creates major security risks. The Foundation for Defense of Democracies (FDD) issued its warning after a recent tabletop exercise.
FDD noted that nearly half of Taiwan’s electricity comes from LNG. Taiwan imports all of its LNG and coal, leaving no room for domestic backup. This import reliance creates a major vulnerability in case of disruptions.
China could exploit these weaknesses through economic warfare, maritime blockades, and diplomatic pressure. Any serious disruption would hurt Taiwan’s resilience and send global economic shockwaves.
FDD highlighted that Taiwan LNG dependence could force the island into difficult choices. Taiwan might have to decide between powering homes and hospitals or supporting the semiconductor industry. Semiconductors are vital for Taiwan’s economy and global diplomacy.
The report explained that China has many tools available. Beijing could combine cyberattacks, economic influence, and naval power to threaten Taiwan’s power grid. The think tank urged Taipei to immediately diversify its LNG imports. It said Qatar, which provides 30% of Taiwan’s LNG, remains vulnerable to Chinese pressure.
Instead, FDD recommended signing contracts with the US, boosting renewable energy, and modernizing Taiwan’s power grid. Even if costs rise, reliable partners could reduce risk. Washington could also send a clear signal by offering LNG supplies if other nations bow to Beijing.
Last year, QatarEnergy agreed to supply CPC Corporation with 4 million tons of LNG annually for 27 years. Bloomberg reported the contract value was not disclosed.
FDD also warned that China is preparing for conflict through cyber infiltration. It may already plant malicious software in foreign infrastructure. Taiwan should bring together operators of ports, aviation systems, and cranes to reinforce both cyber and physical defenses.
The report mentioned that Chinese-made cranes dominate US ports and could track sensitive cargo. Such surveillance shows how Beijing can mix commerce with intelligence.
Finally, the FDD urged Taiwan to focus on societal resilience. If Taiwan endures the first wave of Chinese pressure, Beijing’s leverage will fade. To achieve this, Taiwan must strengthen cybersecurity, energy security, and societal resolve.
The think tank concluded that only by reducing Taiwan LNG dependence can the island withstand prolonged pressure and protect its democracy.
